Coritiba vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
COT
1 - 0
VAS
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
COT
1 - 1
SCI
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATM
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
CRZ
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |