Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-1
Coritiba vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
COT
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
84%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
11%
20%
70%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
COT
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CSE
2 - 2
ASA
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
3 - 2
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |