CBF Brasileiro U20 Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Corinthians Sub 20 vs América Mineiro Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 4
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
VAS
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 3
AME
60%
21%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 0
AME
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |