Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-1
Corinthians vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
CEA
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
IND
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
COR
16%
26%
58%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |