Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
COR
38%
28%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 2
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 3
SAO
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 3
SAO
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |