Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 1
COR
15%
26%
60%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
LIN
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 3
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
OES
2 - 3
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |