Corinthians vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AME
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
RAC
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 1
LFC
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
HUR
5 - 0
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 1
RAC
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 3
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |