Corinthians vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 1
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 2
GRÊ
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 0
PAU
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 3
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
PAU
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |