Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASA
71%
19%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
GOI
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
PAL
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 1
SAM
82%
15%
3%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
ATM
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |