Corinthians vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
SLO
59%
25%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
18%
22%
59%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
55%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |