Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
47%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 0
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
COR
0 - 1
GOI
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 4
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 2
CRZ
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAS
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
FFL
0 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |