Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-1
Corinthians vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
SCI
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
28%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 4
COR
30%
29%
41%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |