Corinthians vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
45%
31%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
COR
3 - 0
REM
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
COR
2 - 0
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
CEA
0 - 2
COR
28%
32%
40%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
PAY
0 - 0
COR
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
COT
1 - 0
SPO
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 1
COT
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
POR
0 - 2
COT
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1976 |
COT
1 - 0
USC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |