Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Corinthians vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
26%
29%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
4 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |