Corinthian vs Guildford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BEC
3 - 2
COR
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
HYT
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SIT
0 - 2
COR
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
PHO
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 0
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guildford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 1
GUI
58%
19%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JBF
3 - 1
GUI
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
GUI
19%
18%
63%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 2
GUI
17%
17%
67%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
4 - 3
WAL
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |