Conwy Borough FC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CON
0 - 4
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
AIR
3 - 1
CON
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
PRE
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +4 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 3
CON
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
PEN
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
RTW
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 0
GUI
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |