Tercera Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Constància vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
MAF
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAF
1 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
NTÑ
73%
17%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 3
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
BNS
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 0
RVI
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RVI
2 - 1
ALH
46%
27%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CÉL
0 - 3
ALH
8%
19%
74%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALH
7 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |