Athlético Marseille vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
CON
5%
10%
85%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
CON
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AUB
0 - 3
CON
18%
21%
60%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
FUR
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FUR
0 - 1
LUC
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAN
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 1
LUC
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LUC
2 - 1
EUA
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
IST
1 - 1
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |