Athlético Marseille vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 1
GAR
56%
22%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 3
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FRE
7 - 1
FUR
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
FRE
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 0
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |