Athlético Marseille vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FUR
0 - 1
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
GAR
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FUR
0 - 0
AJA
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
GRA
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |