Connecticut vs Westchester Flames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
WES
3 - 2
CAC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
CAC
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
CAC
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LON
4 - 1
CAC
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 2
SEA
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Westchester Flames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
WES
4 - 2
POR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOS
2 - 1
WES
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
WES
0 - 4
WES
24%
23%
52%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
WES
1 - 2
LON
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
WES
4 - 1
BOS
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |