Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
STM
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CON
8 - 0
LID
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 2
TNS
13%
18%
69%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |