Connah's Quay vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
87%
9%
3%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |