Connah's Quay vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
CON
7 - 1
AEL
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 5
CON
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CON
2 - 3
RHY
27%
23%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CON
5 - 3
AFC
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RHY
4 - 0
GUI
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 2
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 3
GUI
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 2
AEL
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 2
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |