Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
RHY
0 - 4
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AEL
0 - 4
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
CON
22%
24%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
64%
19%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CEF
0 - 1
BUC
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RTW
2 - 1
CEF
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
CEF
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
CEF
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |