Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
CWM
0 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
CON
0 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 3
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
CON
2 - 4
LLA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 3
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
CEF
1 - 0
LID
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
CEF
2 - 3
HAV
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |