Connah's Quay vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CON
0 - 2
RHY
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LLA
5 - 0
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CEF
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CAE
61%
20%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
3 - 0
WEL
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CAE
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |