Connah's Quay vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
CAR
3 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CON
0 - 0
HAV
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
RHY
3 - 4
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAE
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAE
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CAE
0 - 1
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
POR
1 - 3
CAE
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |