Conil vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LAP
2 - 1
CON
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ECI
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 0
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
ALG
25%
27%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
2 - 3
LEB
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
CIS
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEU
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SRO
1 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAD
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |