Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
16º
11º
45
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 0
CON
49%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
ANT
32%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
CDR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 0
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
CDL
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
4 - 0
CDG
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDL
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 0
POZ
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |