Congo vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
CGO
0 - 3
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
TAN
3 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
CGO
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 1
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
0 - 0
SEN
15%
26%
59%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |