Congo vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
CGO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 1
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
CGO
17%
20%
64%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
0 - 0
SEN
15%
26%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |