African Nations Championship Group D Round 1

Congo vs South Sudan analysis

Congo South Sudan
62 ELO 65
-16.2% Tilt -10.2%
2714º General ELO ranking 2298º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.1%
Congo
27.5%
Draw
34.5%
South Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Congo
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.5%
Win probability
South Sudan
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Congo
-5%
+26%
South Sudan

ELO progression

Congo
South Sudan
Senegal
Nigeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Congo
Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2024
CGO
Congo
2 - 1
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
23%
24%
54%
61 68 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
0 - 0
Congo
CGO
49%
26%
25%
60 68 8 +1
19 Nov. 2024
CGO
Congo
0 - 1
Uganda
UGA
27%
26%
47%
61 68 7 -1
14 Nov. 2024
SSD
South Sudan
3 - 2
Congo
CGO
17%
20%
64%
61 49 12 0
15 Oct. 2024
CGO
Congo
1 - 1
South Africa
RSA
11%
19%
70%
61 80 19 0

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2025
SDN
South Sudan
1 - 1
South Sudan
SSD
62%
21%
17%
65 50 15 0
22 Mar. 2025
SDN
South Sudan
0 - 0
Senegal
SEN
15%
26%
58%
65 87 22 0
13 Mar. 2025
OMA
Oman
0 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
67%
21%
12%
64 79 15 +1
25 Dec. 2024
SDN
South Sudan
2 - 1
Ethiopia
ETH
53%
24%
23%
64 57 7 0
22 Dec. 2024
ETH
Ethiopia
0 - 2
South Sudan
SDN
37%
26%
36%
63 59 4 +1