Confiança vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
CON
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CRB
3 - 2
CON
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
CRZ
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
COT
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSA
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |