Confiança vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1978 |
CON
1 - 2
PPE
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
GUA
5 - 0
CON
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VOL
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
VAS
4 - 1
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
CON
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SER
1 - 2
CSA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
SER
1 - 0
VOL
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SER
0 - 0
GUA
16%
30%
54%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
SER
0 - 1
BAH
15%
28%
57%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
BOT
5 - 1
SER
88%
9%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |