Confiança vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CON
5 - 1
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
CON
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 2
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
CON
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
2 - 3
GLO
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GLO
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
GLO
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |