Confiança vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 2
CON
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
BAH
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 0
CON
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
EST
33%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
COR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |