Sergipano Primera Fase Jor. 4

Confiança vs Guarany SE analysis

Confiança Guarany SE
53 ELO 27
0.9% Tilt 4.4%
2105º General ELO ranking 32212º
68º Country ELO ranking 967º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Confiança
14.8%
Draw
5.5%
Guarany SE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
Confiança
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.5%
Win probability
Guarany SE
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Confiança
-22%
+4%
Guarany SE

ELO progression

Confiança
Guarany SE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Confiança
Confiança
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2019
SAM
Sampaio Correa
2 - 2
Confiança
CON
54%
23%
23%
53 59 6 0
20 Jan. 2019
OSE
Olímpico SE
0 - 2
Confiança
CON
11%
18%
71%
53 22 31 0
18 Jan. 2019
CON
Confiança
0 - 1
Salgueiro
SAL
50%
25%
25%
53 52 1 0
13 Jan. 2019
CON
Confiança
1 - 0
Sergipe
SER
67%
20%
13%
53 43 10 0
06 Jan. 2019
CON
Confiança
2 - 1
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
60%
22%
18%
53 47 6 0

Matches

Guarany SE
Guarany SE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2019
GUA
Guarany SE
0 - 1
Sergipe
SER
24%
24%
52%
29 42 13 0
19 Jan. 2019
DOR
Dorense
0 - 0
Guarany SE
GUA
54%
22%
24%
28 34 6 +1
12 Jan. 2019
GUA
Guarany SE
1 - 3
Itabaiana
ITA
27%
27%
46%
30 43 13 -2
16 Apr. 2016
GUA
Guarany SE
2 - 1
Socorrense
SOC
47%
26%
28%
30 29 1 0
09 Apr. 2016
AMA
Amadense
1 - 0
Guarany SE
GUA
46%
24%
31%
31 30 1 -1
X