Condruzien vs Loyers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
11º
5º
69
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condruzien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CON
2 - 4
SHA
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BIE
2 - 1
CON
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
FLA
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SPY
2 - 5
CON
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
5 - 2
AND
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Loyers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LOY
3 - 0
FLA
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LOY
4 - 2
SPY
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AND
1 - 5
LOY
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
USD
0 - 0
LOY
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LOY
3 - 0
NIS
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |