Pref. Asturias Promotion Stage Final
Global 1-1
Condal vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NAL
0 - 1
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BER
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ENA
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
VCD
2 - 5
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
GOZ
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AST
2 - 3
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |