Concordia vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
VNZ
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
CON
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SAR
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DEL
0 - 1
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
POR
5 - 2
TAM
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GIO
3 - 3
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |