Concordia vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
CON
76%
16%
9%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CON
1 - 4
TAM
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
ACS
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SSE
1 - 0
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
FCB
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAC
1 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |