Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFL
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
12%
20%
67%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
FFL
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
BRU
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |