Concorde vs AC Douane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
7º
38
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concorde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 2
CON
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
ZEM
51%
23%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IDN
2 - 1
CON
43%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ZEM
2 - 0
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
KFC
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Douane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
4 - 0
KFC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
ACD
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
POL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ACD
1 - 1
NOU
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
ACD
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |