Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CON
0 - 0
SWA
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 0
CON
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
UNI
5 - 1
CON
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
DGV
71%
16%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
COL
4 - 1
UNI
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 3
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |