Concepción vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CON
2 - 1
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
UCH
0 - 1
CON
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CON
3 - 2
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PUE
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
ACS
1 - 1
CON
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
NAC
3 - 3
BOC
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
OLI
4 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 1
COR
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |