Segunda Chile Round 14

Concepción vs General Velásquez analysis

Concepción General Velásquez
42 ELO 49
-14.9% Tilt -4.2%
2216º General ELO ranking 3912º
28º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
19.4%
Concepción
24.7%
Draw
55.9%
General Velásquez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
Concepción
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.9%
Win probability
General Velásquez
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Concepción
+38%
-18%
General Velásquez

Points and table prediction

Concepción
Their league position
General Velásquez
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
14º
10º
29
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportes Limache
61
61
100%
CD Melipilla
47
47
100%
Fernández Vial
40
40
0%
San Antonio Unido
40
40
0%
Lautaro de Buin
37
37
100%
CD Provincial Osorno
34
34
100%
Trasandino
34
34
100%
CDSC Iberia
14º
22
32
0%
Real San Joaquín
10º
29
32
0%
Concepción
31
31
10º
100%
Deportes Valdivia
11º
27
30
11º
100%
General Velásquez
29
29
12º
100%
Linares Unido
12º
25
25
13º
100%
Deportes Rengo
13º
24
24
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Concepción
General Velásquez
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Concepción
General Velásquez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Concepción
Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
CON
Concepción
0 - 0
Fernández Vial
FVC
18%
24%
58%
39 51 12 0
04 Jun. 2023
CON
Concepción
1 - 3
CD Melipilla
CDM
18%
24%
58%
40 51 11 -1
27 May. 2023
REN
Deportes Rengo
5 - 0
Concepción
CON
70%
19%
12%
41 50 9 -1
21 May. 2023
CON
Concepción
2 - 1
CDSC Iberia
IBE
17%
24%
59%
39 51 12 +2
13 May. 2023
DLI
Linares Unido
1 - 0
Concepción
CON
62%
22%
17%
39 47 8 0

Matches

General Velásquez
General Velásquez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2023
GVE
General Velásquez
1 - 1
Real San Joaquín
JOA
48%
25%
28%
50 48 2 0
27 May. 2023
CDM
CD Melipilla
0 - 1
General Velásquez
GVE
50%
25%
25%
50 52 2 0
20 May. 2023
LIM
Deportes Limache
2 - 0
General Velásquez
GVE
55%
24%
21%
51 54 3 -1
14 May. 2023
GVE
General Velásquez
1 - 1
Lautaro de Buin
LAU
33%
26%
41%
50 53 3 +1
09 May. 2023
CDP
CD Provincial Osorno
0 - 0
General Velásquez
GVE
35%
26%
38%
51 48 3 -1