Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UCH
2 - 1
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
CON
2 - 4
COL
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
HUA
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
DEP
1 - 2
CON
40%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CON
0 - 2
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CSL
0 - 0
COB
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 0
CSL
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COQ
0 - 0
CSL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CSL
3 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |