Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-6
Concepción vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1991 |
CON
3 - 0
LIG
32%
24%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
CON
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
LIG
4 - 0
CON
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
BSC
2 - 2
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
CON
1 - 0
BSC
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
AME
3 - 2
TAC
63%
24%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
AME
2 - 0
MAR
88%
10%
3%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1991 |
TAC
1 - 1
AME
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 1
AME
8%
18%
74%
|
82 | 32 | 50 | 0 |