Concarneau vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
FLE
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
LAT
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
GDB
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
VOL
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 4
REN
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LYO
4 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 4
TRO
21%
24%
56%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |