Concarneau vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
PAC
3 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 3
SEN
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CON
0 - 2
STA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 1
CON
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 4
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
QUE
1 - 0
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SEN
1 - 2
QUE
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
QUE
1 - 2
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BOI
1 - 0
QUE
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |