Concarneau vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
DRA
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
USB
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
SAI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 0
AVR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
AVR
0 - 2
LMU
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
AVR
6%
13%
82%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 3
MGG
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |